Jon Huntsman is the Most Electable Republican

For the last three years, the Republican Party has been engaged in a struggle to define itself.  They have seen the backlash resulting from the failed policies of the Obama Administration and realized that this is an opportunity to reassert the small government, free market, low tax pillars of Conservatism.  We have seen the emergence of the Tea Party, the sweeping midterm election of 2010 and the increasingly abysmal daily tracking polls for President Obama.

As the Republican primary commenced, this struggle played out in the constant tug and pull between a resurgent Republican base and the party establishment.  It is, as the media has portrayed it, a struggle between philosophical catharsis (Newt Gingrich) and electability (Mitt Romney).  But that dichotomy is deeply flawed.

Romney has been seen since day one as the establishment candidate with a broader appeal to independents and thus better general election chances.  The reality of the situation, however, is that Romney’s persona does not appeal to the country at large.  In a year when the electorate loathes the political process, and the politicians who guide it, Romney’s image of politician through and through will be viewed with skepticism, at the very least.

His electability is in question for another reason: the Obama Administration, which is inept at governing but unparalleled at campaigning, knows his weaknesses and has a strategy in place to defeat him.  They will—in fact they have already started to—paint him as an unattached, job-killing flip-flopper with no moral center, willing to say or do anything and everything to get elected.  It is hard to imagine a more powerful strategy for a general electorate which values consistency and boldness over almost anything else.

Which brings us to Newt Gingrich.  His recent rise in the polls is the result of his constant, vocal, and sometimes outlandish criticism of Barrack Obama, a cathartic experience for Republican voters who are angry and passionate about defeating him in 2012.  But Conservatives, Liberals, and the Obama Administration itself realize the ease with which they would cruise to victory were Gingrich nominated by the Republican Party, for two reasons.

First, his bombastic personality, which is a positive in the primary election, would become a negative in the general election and the chances of him saying something too outlandish would increase day by day.  His past statements, such as when he stated that “people like me are what stand between us and Auschwitz” or when he described himself as a “definer of civilization” paint a picture of a Nixonian candidate, one with bold ideas and political prowess but hindered by substantial personal flaws.

Second, Gingrich is not the bastion of Conservatism that the Tea Party thinks he is.  The flip-flops on issues such as climate change, the individual mandate, and Libya are well known.  But more importantly, Gingrich has shown an utter disregard for some Conservative principles.  Last week, Gingrich committed Conservative heresy by responding to Mitt Romney’s statement asking the speaker to return the $1.6 million he received from Freddie Mac with his own challenge to return the money Romney made “bankrupting companies and laying employees off” at Bain Capital.  To equate crony capitalism and influence peddling with the market realities of capitalism itself is to completely misrepresent Conservatism and its principles, something voters will realize under greater scrutiny. 

If the Obama Administration is content with facing Mitt Romney in the general election, they are licking their chops at the potential nomination of Newt Gingrich.  But the dichotomy of Gingrich and Romney is flawed because it doesn’t include the candidate who is the most electable and who the Obama Campaign is most worried about, Jon Huntsman. 

As Conservative columnists George Will and Erick Erickson pointed out, Governor Huntsman has the most Conservative record of any of the Republican candidates.  The Wall Street Journal and most recently The Tax Foundation, a Washington based Think Tank, endorsed the Governor’s tax and jobs proposal as bold and transformative.  The New York Times ranked him as the most likely Republican candidate to defeat Barrack Obama.  He appeals to independents because of his consistent record, his foreign policy experience and his nuanced demeanor. 

The true dichotomy is not between catharsis and supposed electability; it is between candidates seeking political absolution through shallow verbal barrages and a candidate with the leadership credentials and bold proposals necessary to win.  Put simply, it is true electability.  Jon Huntsman is truly electable and he is the right leader to set the United States on the path toward future sustainability.  

Jobs, Taxes, and the Republican Primary

Economic factors are always paramount in presidential elections.  But in a year when the unemployment rates remains above 9% and the Eurozone debt crisis looms, the importance expands exponentially.  With the first Republican primary less than two months away, each of the potential candidates has outlined a tax and jobs plan that will, according to them, bring the United States out of this recession and restore it to its once great position as the only viable superpower.

Mitt Romney, the unflappably stagnant former governor of Massachusetts, introduced his 49 point jobs plan last month in Las Vegas.  It entails cutting corporate tax rates from 35% to 25%, eliminating the estate tax, and extending the so-called Bush Tax Cuts.  He also recommends reducing the regulatory burdens on business by repealing Obamacare and Dodd-Frank (the financial reform bill) and expanding drilling in areas such as the Gulf Coast, the Plain States and Alaska. 

Texas Governor Rick Perry, the unflappably flappable candidate, introduced his tax and jobs proposals in recent weeks.  His jobs plan focuses mainly on increased energy production in oil and natural gas which he states will “unleash 1.2 million American jobs through safe and aggressive energy exploration at home.”  His tax plan proposes creating an opt-in flat tax, meaning those who choose to do so, can have their taxes reduced to a flat rate. 

Former Godfather Pizza Executive Herman Cain, the ever-present attention seeker, has infamously proposed his 9-9-9 plan to reform the tax code.  It would throw out the existing tax code and replace it with a 9% corporate tax rate, 9% individual income tax, and 9% national sales tax.  Cain has not explained his plan much beyond that except to say that his advisors have crunched the numbers and it will be deficit neutral.

Former Utah Governor and Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman (disclaimer, I volunteer on Huntsman’s campaign) has proposed a tax and jobs plan that synthesizes many aspects of Romney, Perry and Cain’s proposals.  He calls for tax reform in which loopholes and deductions for corporations and the rich are eliminated and the base is broadened.  The corporate tax rate would then be reduced from 35% to 25% and the personal income tax would be reduced to flatter, fairer rates of 8%, 14%, and 23%.  He has also called for expanded oil and natural gas exploration, regulatory reform, free trade expansion, and stronger relationships with foreign nations.

Other candidates have made various similar and sometimes outlandish proposals.  Rick Santorum, has proposed cutting the tax rate for manufacturing to 0%, an interesting thought.  Ron Paul has proposed eliminating the Departments of Education, Commerce, Energy, Interior, and Housing and Urban Development.  Michelle Bachmann has not been able to formulate a sentence that does not end with “repeal Obamacare.” 

Many of these proposals are seriously flawed.  Romney’s tax plan leaves the existing tax code, loopholes, deductions, and all, in place allowing for companies like GE to continue to make billions of dollars and pay no income taxes.  Perry’s tax plan also leaves the existing loopholes and deductions in place because those benefiting from them will not choose to opt-in to the proposed flat tax.  Cain’s plan is simply simplistic; as a tax lobbyist I spoke to recently put it, “I have serious questions about a tax policy that can be summed up in a catch phrase.”

 Santorum’s proposal concerning tax rates on manufacturing is intriguing but has little chance of success in Congress.  Paul’s proposals are simply ludicrous; maybe in a perfect world we could do away with five Executive Agencies and be fine, but that is not this world.  Huntsman’s jobs and tax plan was called “big and bold” by Reuters and “as impressive as any to date in the GOP presidential field, and certainly better than what we’ve seen from the front-runners.”  Because of my stake in the Huntsman campaign I will let you decide for yourself.

What is clear is that the Republican candidates for president have displayed many similarities and many differences in these proposals.  The distinctions may seem minute, but they are clear and integral in this time of economic woe.  The candidates now have approximately eight weeks to distinguish themselves from each other and from President Obama.  It should be interesting to watch.